Call Me Stormy

Finding righteous currents in turbulent times

Herd Immunity By April

With cases of COVID-19 down and vaccinations in full swing, many think we’ll reach herd immunity sometime in April. Stephen Green of the “Right Angle” triumvirate, says a recent article in the Wall Street Journal reports that COVID cases nationwide are down almost 70 percent in the last six weeks (ending two weeks ago) and cases have further declined since.

The article goes on to state that testing has only been able to capture between 10 to 25 percent of infections, depending on when one contracted the virus. Applying some time-weighted math to the 28 million confirmed coronavirus cases, points to 55 percent of Americans with natural immunity, though well short of the 85 percent needed for herd immunity. But hold on. As of two weeks ago, 15 percent of Americans have been vaccinated and that number is growing. And furthermore, former FDA Commissioner Scott Gottlieb says 250 million vaccine doses will be delivered to Americans by the end of March, which should bring us to herd immunity. Bill Whittle and Scott Ott join Green for their analyses of the issue.

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