Call Me Stormy

Finding righteous currents in turbulent times

Archive for the tag “Trafalgar Group”

04 Nov 2024

Cahaly Sees Tight Trump Win

Veteran pollster Robert Cahaly, the founder of the Trafalgar Group, earned his stripes as one of the few pollsters who correctly predicted Donald Trump’s victory in 2016. Now,  Cahaly is going out on a limb again and forecasting a second Trump victory in 2024.

He doesn’t believe it will be a runaway election. He sees a few of the battleground states slipping away into the hands of the leftist Kamala Harris, notably Nevada and possibly Wisconsin.

But Cahaly believes Trump will prevail based on his strength across the Sun Belt  in Arizona, Georgia and North Carolina. He also sees Pennsylvania landing in Trump’s camp, with Michigan as a tossup — too close to call in advance.

Cahaly has been operating out of Atlanta, Georgia, but is now in the process of relocating his business back to his home state of South Carolina. He is interviewed here by FITSNews, an  independent journalism forum.

Posted in Political, Hey! and tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment
08 Sep 2022

Biden’s MAGA Speech Backfires

Joe Biden’s blood-red Gates of Hell MAGA speech is backfiring in the polls as Peter Doocy slams the White House for its double standards. Should we all pitch in to buy Biden a pitchfork? More from Robert Gouveia, Esquire.

 

Democrats caucus ahead of the midterm elections.

 

Posted in Political, Hey! and tagged , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment
03 Nov 2020

One Pollster Who Gets It Right

Most of the polling companies have been way off the mark the past few elections. But one company has led the pack and gotten the most accurate predictions the past two election cycles — the Trafalgar Group. It not only predicted President Donald Trump’s surprise defeat of Hillary Clinton in 2016, but also correctly forecast Senate outcomes in Florida, Missouri, Montana, North Dakota, Texas and West Virginia in 2018. Here, Robert Cahaly explains why he believes his firm — once dismissed as a Republican-leaning outfit — has a winning formula.

ARVE error: need id and provider

What are the election forecasters who correctly predicted President Donald Trump’s victory in 2016 predicting for this election cycle? If you are a fan of Sleepy Joe Biden, you might want to skip this video! You’re not going to like the new MAGA predictions! More from Steve Turley.

Wisdom Of The Crowd Predicting TRUMP LANDSLIDE, Farage Says Polls Are LYING To Suppress Trump Vote. Nigel Farage says that the goal of media is to trick voters into thinking they can’t win. Betting odds across the board are saying that either Trump landslides or that his odds are way better than the forecasters give.

But polling seems to be partisan these days with some saying Trump is guaranteed to win and others saying he has only a 10% chance. But USC Dornsife says wisdom of the crowd is a better indicator of victory and if that’s true than Draft Kings betting odds suggest Trump hits a 49-state landslide. More from Tim Pool.

Posted in Political, Hey! and tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Post Navigation